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2004 Primary election, Minneapolis school board
Write-in "Doug Mann" for School Board
Another Option for Minneapolis School Board Voters (2004 General Election)
by Doug Mann, 29 Oct 2004, Submitted to the Star-Tribune for publication 28 Oct 2004

Subj:      [Mpls] primary election turnout & analysis
Date:     9/17/2004 8:54:48 PM Central Daylight Time
From:     Socialist2001@cs.com
Sender:     mpls-bounces@mnforum.org
To:     mpls@mnforum.org

My guess is that about 20,000 went to the polls on Tuesday  
Very low undercount, almost like a school board only election
Votes much more concentrated in far South & SW wards than in 1999, 2001, 2002

School board                  2004 primary                  
Candidates     Votes / % of estimated voters
Lydia Lee                        12,711      64%
Peggy Flanagan           11,925      60%         
Sharon Henry Blythe     5,844      29%      
Dennis Schapiro             5,714      29%
Sandra Miller                    3,730      19%        
David Dayhoff                 2,905      15%

Mohammed Jibrell         1827         9%         
Lucky Rosenbloom       1520         8%        
David Donnelly              1367         7%                           
Doug Mann                    1130          6%     
John T. Uldrich              1040       5%
Erik Nelson                     1039      5%
Jack Chisholm                 740     4%
Ray Roybal                       586     3%
John Starway                   336    2%
Rahn V. Workcuff             290    1%

2001 Primary  (with high undercount)
Sharon Henry Blythe    15,419 - 26%   #1
Dennis Schapiro              8,897 - 15%   #4
Doug Mann                          3,604     6% #12

2002 Primary  (with high undercount)                            

Lucky Rosenbloom         4,533   14%      #4
Doug Mann                         3478    11%     #8

Past Primary elections
1999: under 12,000 (school board only)
2001: over   60,000
2002: over   30,000
School board undercount was about 40% in 2001 and 2002 (not voting for school
board candidates and voting for few than 3 / 4 candidates.

Past Primary election, breakdown by wards -
2002 Primary (# voters)                           1999 / 2001 primaries
Ward 1: 2751                                        742   /  4985
Ward 2: 2088                                        713   /  3436
Ward 3: 1598                                        387  /   2963
Ward 4:  2231                                       608  /   3431
Ward 5: 1363                                        585   /  2931             

Ward 13: 4455                                     1904  /  7136
Ward   7: 3444                                     1307 /   5746
Ward  10: 2712                                     852  /   5202

Ward 12: 3449                                      987  /  5680
Ward 11: 3420                                     1200 /   6792   

Ward 6:  1349                                       325  / 2728
Ward 8:  2281                                        665 / 3950
Ward 9:  1696                                       780  / 4675

5th Congressional district, US House 2004 primary
in ward 13:  2615 (DFL) + 386 (Rep) + 28 (Green) = 3029
in ward 5:    599 (DFL) + 72 (Rep) + 11 (Green) = 682
in ward 2:   1335 (DFL) + 128 (Rep) + 65 (Green) = 1428
in ward 1:   1508 (DFL)  + 335 (Rep) + 104 (Green) = 1947
Only the DFL had a contested race for 5th district US House seats

2004 primary, Candidates ranking 6, 8, 9, and 10 citywide:        Ward
                       Citywide / Wards 13     11       7      12      10              Subtotal
Dayhoff,             2905                611   449    333     380    174          1947
Rosenbloom      1520                173    131      98     139    109           650
Donnelly            1367                131    137    112     159      63            602  
Mann                 1130                  101    111      91     122     78             503
Results for 28 South Central precincts (Ward 6, plus parts of 8, 9 10 west of Lyndale, East of Hiawatha, and South of 42 Street, plus "the wedge" (10th ward, precincts 1+ 2)
Ranking 7 through 10 in South Central:
7) Rosenbloom  280
8) Dayhoff         224
9)  Mann             191  
10) Donnelly      129

Ward 2, candidates ranking 7-10
7) Dayhoff            124
8) Mann                 101
9) Donnelly             94
10) Rosenbloom    77

Ward 5, candidates ranking 7-10
7) Rosenbloom   102
8) Donnelly           64
9) Dayhoff            52
10) Mann              47

Ward 4, candidates ranking 7-10
7) Donnelly         116
7) Rosenbloom    106
8) Dayhoff           101
9)  Mann                 80

Ward 1, candidates ranking 7-10
7) Dayhoff          235
8)  Donnelly       165
9)  Rosenbloom  159
10) Mann           154

Ward 3, candidates ranking 7-10
7) Dayhoff        109
8) Donnelly        93
9) Rosenbloom  89
10) Mann           58

In 32 precincts out of 131 citywide, David Dayhoff received the same number or fewer votes than Doug Mann.(13 out of 28 south-central precincts, 7 of 11 in Ward 2, and 3 precincts each in Wards 1,3,4,5). Others candidates in the top 6 and Jibrell (7th place citywide) outpolled me in almost every precinct in the city.

-Doug Mann, King Field
www.educationright.com
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